| T O P I C R E V I E W |
| vk3pa |
Posted - 05 Dec 2007 : 12:24:38 PM
SEC Prediction
SEC Prediction of Smoothed Sunspot Number
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo Hi/Lo
2006 21 19 17 17 17 16 15 16 16 14 13 12
(***) (***) (***) (***) (***) (***) (***) (***) (***) (***) (***) (***)
2007 12 12 11 10 9 7/7 6/6 6/5 5/5 5/5 5/5 4/4
(***) (***) (***) (***) (***) (1) (3) (5) (7) (8) (9) (10)
2008 3/3 3/3 3/3 4/3 4/4 3/4 4/4 6/5 7/6 10/7 12/8 15/10
(11) (12) (13) (14) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15)
2009 19/12 23/13 27/15 31/17 36/20 41/22 46/24 52/27 57/29 62/32 68/35 73/37
(15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15)
2010 79/40 84/43 89/45 94/48 99/51 103/53 108/56 112/59 116/61 119/63 123/66 126/68
(15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15)
2011 129/70 131/72 133/74 135/76 137/78 138/79 139/81 140/82 140/84 140/85 140/86 139/87
(15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15)
2012 139/88 138/88 136/89 135/89 133/90 131/90 129/90 127/90 125/90 122/90 119/89 116/89
(15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15)
2013 114/89 110/88 107/87 104/86 101/86 97/85 94/84 91/83 87/81 84/80 80/79 77/78
(15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15)
2014 74/76 70/75 67/73 64/72 61/70 58/69 55/67 52/65 49/64 46/62 44/60 41/59
(15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15)
2015 38/57 36/55 34/54 32/52 30/50 28/49 26/47 24/45 22/44 21/42 19/40 18/39
(15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15) (15)
Note: Hi is for the larger solar cycle prediction, Lo is for the smaller solar cycle prediction
10 SEC |
| 9 L A T E S T R E P L I E S (Newest First) |
| vk3pa |
Posted - 08 Dec 2012 : 6:00:37 PM
http://www.solen.info/solar/images/cycles23_24.png
We are on the way down max was less than my priditied 80 hi hi
look at red to green line.. |
| vk3pa |
Posted - 12 Jan 2008 : 12:48:56 PM
NASA's Hathaway, along with colleague Robert Wilson at a meeting of the
American Geophysical Union in San Francisco last month, said that Solar
Cycle 24 "looks like it's going to be one of the most intense cycles
since record-keeping began almost 400 years ago." They believe the next
solar maximum should peak around 2010 with a sunspot number of 160, plus
or minus 25. "This would make it one of the strongest solar cycles of
the past fifty years -- which is to say, one of the strongest in
recorded history." Four of the five biggest cycles on record have come
in the past 50 years. "Cycle 24 should fit right into that pattern,"
Hathaway said. |
| vk3pa |
Posted - 06 Jan 2008 : 07:27:17 AM
http://science.nasa.gov/headlines/y2006/10may_longrange.htm |
| vk3pa |
Posted - 06 Jan 2008 : 07:08:08 AM
The first solar-cycle-24 sunspot group has further developed
and is now numbered as NOAA active region 981. No flaring activity is
expected in the coming few days. Meanwhile the solar wind has increased
roughly from 300 to 600 km/s, due to a recurrent coronal hole, and has
triggered geomagnetic activity at the K=4 level. These active
geomagnetic conditions are expected to persists till early next week.
|
| vk3pa |
Posted - 28 Dec 2007 : 07:27:50 AM
go es look at the 178.8 sunspot cycle..3setss of graphs
http://landscheidt.auditblogs.com/archives/17 dont think i will live longenough hi hi |
| vk3pa |
Posted - 26 Dec 2007 : 5:26:44 PM
The 2nd sunspot for cycle 24 appeared today 30deg nth es neg going look'n gud |
| vk3pa |
Posted - 13 Dec 2007 : 9:01:35 PM
The tiny area that has rotated onto the eastern limb does appear to be a Cycle 24 spot. In the first images it did seem to have a tiny spot associated with it. The most recent image "as of this post" appears to be a plage area. In the new magnetogram it does however have the proper magnetic signature to classify it as Cycle 24.
VE3EN |
| vk3pa |
Posted - 13 Dec 2007 : 05:20:06 AM
http://solarscience.msfc.nasa.gov/images/ssn_predict_l.gif
looks like 6m will come gud for dx'n, |
| vk3pa |
Posted - 13 Dec 2007 : 05:11:42 AM
Note
that a small sunspot group might be appearing today at the NE limb.
Given its high latitude (27° N), there is a fair chance that it belongs
to the new solar activity cycle. If a reversed magnetic polarity is
confirmed by magnetograms of the new few days, it would be the first
observed spot of the next solar cycle. The solar wind speed is still
high (600km/s). Unsettled to active geomagnetic conditions are thus
predicted for the next 24 to 48 hours, when the fast solar wind stream
will finally decay.
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